Cambridge Forecast Group Blog: Backup » USA

FED ASSET BUYING

Administrator — Tue, 22 May 2012 02:01:33 +0000

FRBSF Economic Letter:

Fed Asset Buying and Private Borrowing Rates

FRBSF Economic Research publicweb@sf.frb.org

“FRBSF Economic Research”

Mon, 21 May 2012

FRBSF Economic Letter 2012-16 has been posted
on the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco’s Web site

Fed Asset Buying and Private Borrowing Rates
by Michael D. Bauer

Past rounds of large-scale asset purchases by the Federal Reserve have lowered yields not only on the targeted securities, but also on various private borrowing rates. In particular, yields on corporate bonds and primary mortgage rates decreased in response to Fed asset purchase announcements. Notably, however, the link between rates on mortgage-backed securities and actual mortgage rates has weakened in the wake of the financial crisis.

Read the full article at:
http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2012/el2012-16.html?utm_source=mailchimp-icon&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=economic-letter-2012-05-21.html

FRBSF Economic Letter:

Fed Asset Buying and Private Borrowing Rates

FRBSF Economic Research publicweb@sf.frb.org

“FRBSF Economic Research”

Mon, 21 May 2012

L. JHA LECTURES: INDIA

Administrator — Fri, 18 May 2012 03:02:43 +0000

Lecture No.	Delivered by	Subject	Date
1.	Mr. Robin Leigh-Pemberton	Economic Liberalism, Central Banking and the Developing World	October 16, 1990
2.	Mr. Jacob A. Frenkel	The Strategy of Economic Adjustment	November 30, 1992
3.	Mr. Andrew Crockett	Capital Market Innovations: Challenges and Opportunities	February 20, 1995
4.	Mr. William J. McDonough	Strengthening the Financial Marketplace	December 5, 1996
5.	Mr. Rubens Ricupero	Globalisation, Hot Money and the Seach for Profitable Investment: Is the East Asian Crisis a Global Crisis?	July 17, 1998
6.	Dr. Donald T. Brash	Inflation Targeting: Is New Zealand’s Experience Relevant to Developing Countries?	June 17, 1999
7.	Prof. Willem H. Buiter	Targets, Instruments and Institutional Arrangements for an Effective Monetary Authority	October 16, 2000
8.	Prof. Martin Feldstein,	Budget Deficits and National Debt	January 12, 2004.
9.	Prof. Lawrence H. Summers	Reflections on Global Account Imbalances and Emerging Markets Reserve Accumulation	March 24, 2006
10.	Mr.Jean-Claude Trichet	The growing importance of emerging economies in the globalised world and its implications for the international financial architecture	November 26, 2007
11.	Prof. John Brian Taylor	Lessons from the Financial Crisis for Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets	February 24, 2010
12.	Prof. Maurice Obstfeld	Gross Financial Flows, Global Imbalances, and Crises	December 13, 2011

ATLANTA FED: ECONOMIC PROJECTIONS

Administrator — Wed, 16 May 2012 19:20:12 +0000

Atlanta Fed Circular Letters‏

AtlantaFed@frbatlanta.org

Wed 5/16/12

Circular Letters
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

The following information is now available on the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s website.May 16, 2012Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, April 24–25, 2012
The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday released the attached minutes of the Committee meeting held on April 24–25, 2012. A summary of economic projections made by Federal Reserve Board members and Reserve Bank presidents for the April 24–25, 2012 meeting is also included as an addendum to these minutes.
http://www.frbatlanta.org/banking/circulars/120516a.cfmFOMC Announces Revised Tentative 2012 Meeting Schedule and Tentative 2013 Meeting Schedule
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday announced a revised tentative meeting schedule for 2012 and a tentative meeting schedule for 2013. In order to provide ample time for the Committee’s usual discussions, these meetings have been scheduled to take place over two days. In addition, the FOMC announced that, going forward, the presentation of the Summary of Economic Projections and the Chairman’s press conference will occur in conjunction with the meetings scheduled for the third month of each quarter (March, June, September, and December).
http://www.frbatlanta.org/banking/circulars/120516b.cfm Visit our website, frbatlanta.org

Atlanta Fed Circular Letters‏

AtlantaFed@frbatlanta.org

Wed 5/16/12

A take on labor force participation and the unemployment rate
The intertwined nature of the unemployment rate and the labor force participation rate is well established. But how do fluctuations in one affect the other? A new macroblog post examines recent data to shed some light on the statistical dynamics.Cooperating competitors? Yes, when it comes to payment standards
Private firms generally work together to develop payment standards through membership organizations. Portals and Rails asks: do standards increase competition in the payments industry by leveling the playing field? Or do they inherently favor the companies that most influenced their development?Regional manufacturing remained strong in April
Southeastern manufacturing continued showing momentum in April, flexing its muscle as the sector adds jobs and production. SouthPoint looks at recent indicators to place the gains in perspective.

BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS MAY 10-14 2012: BERNANKE ON BANK LENDING

Administrator — Tue, 15 May 2012 19:12:03 +0000

Central bankers’ speeches from 10 to 14 May now available‏

Press, Service (press@bis.org)

Tue 5/15/12

Central bankers’ speeches for 14 April 2012
now available on the BIS website

Carlos Gustavo Cano: On the crisis

Philip Lowe: Developments in the mining and non-mining economies

Benoît Cœuré: Unexpected events and the global safety net

Central bankers’ speeches for 11 April 2012
now available on the BIS website

Andreas Dombret: How to manage financial crisis from a systemic viewpoint

Ewald Nowotny: European Monetary Union – lessons from the debt crisis

Peter Praet: Managing financial crises – the role of the European Central Bank

Ben S Bernanke: Banks and bank lending – the state of play

Central bankers’ speeches for 10 April 2012
now available on the BIS website

Prasarn Trairatvorakul: Regional cooperation for improved financial resilience and liquidity support – a decade on and the challenges ahead

All speeches from 1997 onwards are available from the BIS website at:

http://www.bis.org/list/cbspeeches/index.htm.

Communications

Bank for International Settlements

E-mail: press@bis.org

Website: www.bis.org

Phone: +41 61 280 8188

Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

Central bankers’ speeches from 10 to 14 May now available‏

http://www.bis.org/list/cbspeeches/index.htm

Press, Service (press@bis.org)

Tue 5/15/12

LIQUIDITY RISK: “FRBSF ECONOMIC LETTER”

Administrator — Mon, 14 May 2012 19:20:46 +0000

FRBSF Economic Letter: Liquidity Risk and Credit in the Financial Crisis‏2012-15 May 14, 2012

Liquidity Risk and Credit in the Financial Crisis

by Philip E. Strahan

The 2007–08 financial crisis was the biggest shock to the banking system since the 1930s, raising fundamental questions about liquidity risk. The global financial system experienced urgent demands for cash from various sources, including counterparties, short-term creditors, and, especially, existing borrowers. Credit fell, with banks hit hardest by liquidity pressures cutting back most sharply. Central bank emergency lending programs probably mitigated the decline. Ongoing efforts to regulate bank liquidity may strengthen the financial system and make credit less vulnerable to liquidity shocks.

Read full articleIndex of recent Economic Letters
Researchpubs.sf@sf.frb.org

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Please send editorial comments and requests for reprint permission to Research Library Attn: Research publications, MS 1140 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco P.O. Box 7702 San Francisco, CA 94120

FRBSF Economic Research (publicweb@sf.frb.org)

Mon 5/14/12

2012

15	Liquidity Risk and Credit in the Financial Crisis
	Strahan :: May 14
14	Commodity Prices and PCE Inflation
	Hale • Hobijn • Raina :: May 7
13	Worker Skills and Job Quality
	Neumark • Valletta :: April 30
12	Credit: A Starring Role in the Downturn
	Jorda :: April 16
11	The Slow Recovery: It’s Not Just Housing
	Williams :: April 9
10	Why Has Wage Growth Stayed Strong?
	Daly • Hobijn • Lucking :: April 2
09	Emerging Asia: Two Paths through the Storm
	Hale • Kennedy :: March 26
08	Job Creation Policies and the Great Recession
	Neumark :: March 19
07	Do Fed TIPS Purchases Affect Market Liquidity?
	Christensen • Gillan :: March 5
06	U.S. and Euro-Area Monetary Policy by Regions
	Malkin • Nechio :: February 27
05	Mortgage Prepayment: An Avenue Foreclosed?
	Laderman :: February 13
04	Government Spending: An Economic Boost?
	Wilson :: February 6
03	Why Is Unemployment Duration So Long?
	Valletta • Kuang :: January 30
02	The Federal Reserve and the Economic Recovery
	Williams :: January 17
01	Bilateralism, Multilateralism, and Trade Rules
	Evans :: January 9

BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS APRIL 12-13 2012: THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Administrator — Fri, 13 Apr 2012 18:16:56 +0000

Central bankers’ speeches for 12 and 13 April now available‏

Press, Service (press@bis.org)

Fri 4/13/12

Central bankers’ speeches for 13 April 2012
now available on the BIS website

Thomas Jordan: Discussions on the topic of the euro/Swiss franc minimum exchange rate

Janet L Yellen: The economic outlook and monetary policy

Sarah Bloom Raskin: Downturns and recoveries – what the economies in Los Angeles and the United States tell us

Jörg Asmussen: The Irish case from an ECB perspectiv

Central bankers’ speeches for 12 April 2012
now available on the BIS website

H R Khan: Musings on the FEDAI, the forex market and the Indian rupee

Benoît Cœuré: Financing the economy of the euro area – the European Central Bank’s role

Prasarn Trairatvorakul: Economic and financial cooperation between China and Thailand

William C Dudley: The national and regional economic outloo

All speeches from 1997 onwards are available from the BIS website at http://www.bis.org/list/cbspeeches/index.htm

Communications

Bank for International Settlements

E-mail: press@bis.org

Website: www.bis.org

Phone: +41 61 280 8188

Bank for International Settlements

Central bankers’ speeches for 12 and 13 April now available

http://www.bis.org/list/cbspeeches/index.htm

Press, Service (press@bis.org)

Fri 4/13/12

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: RECENT YOUTUBE PRESENTATIONS BY LAWRENCE FEINER OF CFG

Administrator — Mon, 09 Apr 2012 07:53:48 +0000

CLICK ON:

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: ORIENTING YOURSELF VIA THE BOOK “THE REAGAN REVOLUTION AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES”

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: RECENT YOUTUBE VIDEO PRESENTATIONS WITH LAWRENCE FEINER INCLUDING THE FALL OF COMMUNISM AND ITS IMPACT ON RACE RELATIONS

I, Lawrence Feiner, am one of the authors of the reagan revolution and the developing countries. The other is richard melson

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: HOW TO ORIENT YOURSELF VIA THE CFG BOOK “THE REAGAN REVOLUTION AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES”

Administrator — Thu, 29 Mar 2012 19:16:13 +0000

Readers want to know:

1. what’s really happening?

2. where am I in all this?

Read:

The Reagan Revolution and the Developing Countries

Cambridge Forecast Group Book

This is a book about the Reagan revolution and the developing countries. It shows why the years (1980-1990) were critical in determining the global economic future. The first chapter is how to think about the future. The second chapter is about growth economic and human capital. The third chapter is about development economic the forth chapter is about the world economy from Charlemagne to the present. The fifth chapter is about the Reagan revolution.

Our book is unique because no other book in our opinion has accurately described just how important the developing world was in Reagan administration policy in our 1979 Japanese book ”world economy/big prediction” the book upon which this book was based, we predicted that in the early 21th century the developing countries would be growing rapidly even as the developed countries stagnated.

About the Authors:

Lawrence Feiner is currently retired. he has a B.S. in math from The Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a Phd in math from M.I.T.. He has previously co-authored numerous Japanese books that were favorably reviewed. He was a principal of the Cambridge Forecast Group specializing in economic forecasting.

Richard Melson is currently retired after working for an investment advisory firm. He got a masters degree in Asian regional economics from Harvard. He has previously co-authored numerous Japanese books that were favorably reviewed. He was a principal of the Cambridge Forecast Group specializing in economic forecasting.

Again:

This is a book about the Reagan revolution and the developing countries. It shows why the years (1980-1990) were critical in determining the global economic future. The first chapter is how to think about the future. The second chapter is about growth economic and human capital. The third chapter is about development economic the fourth chapter is about the world economy from Charlemagne to the present. The fifth chapter is about the Reagan revolution.

Click on:

“THE REAGAN REVOLUTION AND THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES”: NEW CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP BOOK

November 29, 2011 at 7:24 pm | Posted in Books, Development, Economics, Financial, Globalization, History, Research, Third World, USA, World-system

http://cambridgeforecast.wordpress.com/2011/11/

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: “WORLD ECONOMY BIG PREDICTION” BOOK

February 7, 2008 at 4:24 am | Posted in Books, Financial, Globalization, History, Research, Science & Technology,Third World

http://cambridgeforecast.wordpress.com/2008/02/07/cambridge-forecast-group-book-world-economy/